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Capabilities reference

A brain is built around one or more capabilities — plain-English descriptions of what the brain can do. The wizard’s auto-resolver picks the smallest set of priors that covers every capability you selected, preferring paper-backed priors and specialists.

Live capabilities

CapabilityIconWhat it deliversPaper-backed priors
Predict a number🔢Given a few examples, predict a numeric value for a new inputpfns-reference (Müller 2022)
Forecast forward📈Given the past of a series, predict where it is headingtabpfn-ts (Hoo 2024), ifbo (Rakotoarison 2024)
Pick the next experiment🧪Given results so far, suggest which configuration to try nextpfns4bo (Müller 2023), ifbo (Rakotoarison 2024)
Extrapolate a partial curve📉Given the start of a curve, predict where it will end uplc-pfn (Adriaensen 2023), ifbo (Rakotoarison 2024)
Show confidence🎯Output not just a prediction but how sure the brain ispfns-reference, lc-pfn, ifbo, pfns4bo

A capability is live if at least one paper-backed, non-niche prior in the catalog delivers it. The wizard derives state from the catalog — adding a new paper-backed prior with the right tag automatically flips a capability live.

Coming soon

CapabilityIconWhy it’s not live yet
Sort into categories🏷️Needs TabPFN (Hollmann 2022/2025) integration. A two-moons demo prior exists but isn’t paper-backed.

Coming-soon cards are disabled in the picker with a ⏳ badge naming the missing study. The card still shows the icon + description so users can see what’s on the roadmap.

How the resolver picks priors

For each contract group (priors sharing a tensor shape), the resolver:

  1. Enumerates every minimum-size cover — every subset that covers all selected capabilities
  2. Across all candidates, sorts by:
    • Fewer priors (smaller cover wins)
    • More paper-backed priors (paper-backed beats demo)
    • Fewer bonus capabilities (specialist beats generalist)
    • Lexicographic tie-break

So:

You pickResolver returnsWhy
Forecast forwardtabpfn-ts (covers forecast + confidence)Paper-backed, 1 bonus capability (vs ifbo’s 3)
Forecast forward + Pick next experimentifboSingle prior covers both; ifbo is the only paper-backed match
Predict a number + Show confidencepfns-referenceCanonical PFN reference, covers both
Forecast + Extrapolate a curveifboSingle prior covers both; lc-pfn only covers extrapolate
Predict a number + Forecast forwardrefused at pickerDifferent specialities — cross-contract mix isn’t possible

Mix rules — the contract constraint

Mixture training requires every chosen prior to share a tensor contract (input + output shape). The wizard tracks four contracts:

  • regression_1dX (N, 1) + y (N,)
  • regression_vardX (N, D) + y (N,) (D varies per task)
  • classificationX (N, F) + labels
  • temporal_tfX (T, F) + temporal y

The picker greys capabilities that would force a different contract. Picking one anyway replaces the current selection (clarified via the tooltip).

Specialised brains (niche priors)

Some priors are tied to a specific domain and don’t fit a general capability checkbox. KinPFN (RNA folding kinetics) is the only one in the v1 catalog. Niche priors:

  • Have niche: true on their wrapper
  • Don’t contribute to capability state (a niche prior alone doesn’t make a capability “live”)
  • Don’t appear in the main picker grid

A Specialised brains section beneath the capability grid surfaces them when applicable.

Paper-pinned reproductions

If you pick exactly one paper-backed prior and no others, the wizard switches to a paper-pinned route — model architecture, hyperparameters, eval suite, and prior overrides all come from the paper’s own seedRun, not from the wizard’s recipe sliders. See Paper reproductions for the details and trade-offs.

How a coming-soon capability flips live

A capability becomes live the moment a paper-backed, non-niche prior in the catalog provides it. The wizard, the brains-list chips, and the brain-page hero all update automatically — no separate switch to flip.